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Red221
565428.4
1690101.5
599084.8
Blue204
703965.8
223177.4
433840.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228190140160180200220240260280221204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+31Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
10Coral scored#10
52Coral points51
58Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +24
26Coral scored#24
93Coral points87
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#7
24Processor points6
28Net points28
52Algae points34
145Total teleop121
Reef
9L4#13
13L3#7
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#9
47Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +14
12Cage & park26
12Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points6
221Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.50.1
100.5100.6
Auto29.1
Teleop62.8
End9.6
red by 24.1
77.40.4
76.877.1
Auto20.2
Teleop49.0
End8.2
Second
84.80.1
83.984.0
Auto20.8
Teleop61.3
End2.7
red by 19.0
7039
#11
65.80.4
65.265.5
Auto17.8
Teleop38.9
End9.2
Third
5654
#40
28.40.1
27.527.6
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End6.2
blue by 12.0
4338
#17
40.40.4
39.840.1
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End5.7