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Red181
223079.3
263073.2
711242.7
Blue217
595164.9
333971.0
432051.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204194120140160180220240260280181217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+26
Fouls+36
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
13Coral scored#10
65Coral points52
65Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +21
19Coral scored#21
68Coral points77
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
12Processor points12
16Net points28
28Algae points40
96Total teleop117
Reef
9L4#13
12L3#10
8L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +36
6Foul points16
181Total score217

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.30.5
79.779.3
Auto19.1
Teleop49.0
End11.1
red by 8.3
71.00.2
71.872.0
Auto18.8
Teleop46.2
End6.0
Second
2630
#22
73.20.5
73.773.2
Auto21.9
Teleop42.0
End9.3
red by 8.4
64.90.2
65.765.9
Auto18.5
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Third
7112
#34
42.70.5
43.242.7
Auto13.2
Teleop21.9
End7.6
blue by 9.1
4320
#29
51.80.2
52.652.8
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End4.4