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Red195
703965.8
223177.4
433840.4
Blue213
598757.0
157753.5
194268.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19618750100150250300350195213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+16Teleop
Endgame+14
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
11Coral scored#7
55Coral points35
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +2
28Coral scored#29
99Coral points105
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
131Total teleop129
Reef
15L4#11
6L3#8
11L2#11
7L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points4
195Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.40.3
77.177.4
Auto20.2
Teleop49.0
End8.2
red by 9.0
1942
#13
68.40.7
67.668.3
Auto17.7
Teleop44.1
End6.6
Second
7039
#11
65.80.3
65.565.8
Auto17.8
Teleop38.9
End9.2
red by 8.8
57.00.7
56.256.9
Auto11.0
Teleop36.7
End9.2
Third
4338
#17
40.40.3
40.140.4
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End5.7
blue by 13.1
1577
#15
53.50.7
52.753.5
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End6.1