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Red39
383511.4
717716.9
433824.7
Blue47
706717.8
973822.5
817529.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65860501001502002503947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
6Coral scored#6
20Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
28Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
39Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4338
#14
24.71.6
27.626.0
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
blue by 4.3
8175
#15
29.02.1
29.527.4
Auto4.0
Teleop22.5
End2.5
Second
7177
#25
16.91.6
18.416.9
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.9
blue by 5.7
9738
#17
22.52.1
25.923.8
Auto1.7
Teleop19.3
End1.6
Third
3835
#23
11.41.6
14.012.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End0.8
blue by 6.4
7067
#22
17.82.1
19.517.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed