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Red39
623013.8
610420.1
466116.7
Blue134
169072.8
565421.1
431915.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55125010015020039134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+69
Endgame+81
Fouls+95
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +48
6Coral scored#12
20Coral points42
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
0Processor points18
8Net points16
8Algae points34
28Total teleop76
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +95
0Foul points14
39Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6104
#27
20.12.0
20.618.5
Auto2.3
Teleop16.3
End1.5
blue by 52.7
72.80.4
68.468.8
Auto21.2
Teleop46.1
End5.5
Second
16.72.0
19.817.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
blue by 4.4
5654
#18
21.10.4
21.822.2
Auto3.2
Teleop15.2
End2.8
Third
6230
#20
13.82.0
14.212.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 1.7
4319
#21
15.50.4
15.115.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned