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Red27
195417.6
331623.6
1013917.0
Blue93
974018.5
674030.4
711224.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61602040801002793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+60
Endgame+70
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
0Coral scored#2
1Coral points11
10Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +50
1Coral scored#10
3Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
7Total teleop57
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#5
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
6Foul points2
27Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#23
23.63.5
23.319.8
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End1.7
blue by 6.8
6740
#21
30.43.8
26.029.9
Auto4.7
Teleop23.7
End2.0
Second
1954
#31
17.63.5
18.314.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 7.3
7112
#22
24.93.8
20.624.4
Auto6.2
Teleop15.2
End3.5
Third
17.03.5
11.17.6
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.9
blue by 1.5
9740
#29
18.53.8
9.813.7
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned