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Red135
157627.8
209645.7
307544.2
Blue105
674040.1
441622.6
267931.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1378150100150200135105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+10Teleop
+22Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points25
26Total auto28
TeleoperatedRed +12
13Coral scored#16
45Coral points59
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
24Processor points6
16Net points8
40Algae points14
85Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#7
6L3#4
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
8Foul points0
135Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.3
46.446.7
Auto12.3
Teleop30.6
End2.8
red by 5.6
40.11.5
33.935.4
Auto8.6
Teleop27.8
End3.7
Second
44.20.3
45.545.8
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End4.6
red by 13.2
2679
#15
31.01.5
25.827.3
Auto8.1
Teleop20.8
End2.1
Third
1576
#12
27.80.3
31.231.4
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End2.2
red by 5.2
4416
#17
22.61.5
22.524.0
Auto5.7
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed