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Red279
207358.6
441491.9
1690104.5
Blue199
680082.5
293080.5
205476.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271255200300350279199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+76Teleop
+76Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
12Coral scored#8
58Coral points42
58Total auto48
TeleoperatedRed +66
34Coral scored#23
121Coral points81
5Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
30Processor points12
28Net points20
58Algae points32
179Total teleop113
Reef
19L4#9
11L3#12
8L2#6
8L1 · trough#4
58Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +80
6Foul points2
279Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.50.5
103.4103.9
Auto31.3
Teleop62.1
End11.1
red by 22.1
82.51.0
83.082.0
Auto22.5
Teleop48.5
End11.4
Second
91.90.5
90.891.3
Auto19.0
Teleop65.3
End7.6
red by 11.4
80.51.0
81.080.1
Auto18.5
Teleop51.5
End10.5
Third
2073
#57
58.60.5
57.557.9
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.5
blue by 18.1
2054
#50
76.61.0
77.276.2
Auto23.4
Teleop44.5
End8.8