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Red170
167663.6
1059821.0
519974.6
Blue182
68657.8
271467.4
942742.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15616350100200250170182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+20
0Endgame0
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +1
21Coral scored#21
74Coral points77
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
18Processor points18
20Net points16
38Algae points34
112Total teleop111
Reef
6L4#10
8L3#8
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#34
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
6Foul points18
170Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#29
74.60.3
68.869.1
Auto13.5
Teleop50.5
End10.7
red by 7.3
67.40.0
65.465.4
Auto13.3
Teleop47.4
End6.7
Second
1676
#26
63.60.3
60.560.8
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End9.8
red by 5.8
686
#37
57.80.0
42.042.1
Auto9.2
Teleop42.7
End5.9
Third
21.00.3
16.016.3
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End10.0
blue by 21.1
9427
#68
42.10.0
42.342.3
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned