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Red130
99862.1
745791.5
602335.3
Blue72
44726.6
649814.3
549232.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1948605015025030013072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave9
6Coral scored#0
28Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
79Total teleop59
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
130Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.51.0
93.192.1
Auto25.5
Teleop55.8
End10.2
red by 58.8
5492
#10
32.71.8
34.432.6
Auto4.4
Teleop20.3
End7.9
Second
6023
#13
35.31.0
40.639.6
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.4
red by 8.7
447
#5
26.61.8
32.630.8
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
Third
9986
#20
2.11.7
3.41.7
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.7
End2.8
blue by 12.2
6498
#17
14.31.8
23.021.3
Auto1.6
Teleop11.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
71%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed