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Red67
146634.3
949120.7
Blue54
384318.7
492641.0
55423.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721150501001502002506754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
7Coral scored#5
26Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
44Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +12
0Cage & park12
0Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
67Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.30.4
32.632.2
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End2.4
blue by 6.7
41.03.0
49.846.8
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Second
20.70.4
24.323.9
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End-0.6
blue by 2.9
554
#15
23.63.0
25.922.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5
Third
9.40.4
12.812.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 9.2
3843
#19
18.73.0
21.018.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsMissed