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Red182
673139.3
176871.0
242336.6
Blue165
596210.8
12580.8
1025438.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169136050100150200250300182165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+19Teleop
+9Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points34
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +5
24Coral scored#24
87Coral points86
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
109Total teleop104
Reef
12L4#11
7L3#7
10L2#9
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
8Foul points0
182Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.01.4
67.869.2
Auto19.8
Teleop44.6
End6.6
blue by 9.9
125
#10
80.81.9
77.179.0
Auto25.5
Teleop45.5
End9.8
Second
39.31.4
37.338.7
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End1.6
red by 0.6
38.71.9
36.338.3
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End9.1
Third
2423
#22
36.61.4
35.937.3
Auto11.8
Teleop21.3
End3.5
red by 25.8
5962
#23
10.81.9
5.47.3
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
73%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned