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Red121
944326.5
620146.8
175740.7
Blue154
862640.4
8877.8
287635.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118174050100150200250121154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+43
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +43
15Coral scored#18
53Coral points66
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#5
6Processor points24
8Net points20
14Algae points44
67Total teleop110
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#8
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
121Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6201
#17
46.80.3
46.146.4
Auto10.8
Teleop29.2
End6.9
blue by 31.0
88
#2
77.80.1
74.474.3
Auto18.6
Teleop50.0
End9.3
Second
1757
#14
40.70.3
39.740.1
Auto9.9
Teleop23.3
End7.5
red by 0.3
8626
#18
40.40.1
39.839.7
Auto6.4
Teleop33.1
End0.9
Third
9443
#20
26.50.3
25.125.4
Auto4.4
Teleop16.4
End5.7
blue by 9.3
35.80.1
35.235.1
Auto9.3
Teleop26.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned