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Red192
12580.8
573524.2
176871.0
Blue112
500053.6
127733.8
175740.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19613350100150250300192112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+90Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +76
28Coral scored#12
100Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
132Total teleop56
Reef
10L4#6
10L3#6
7L2#4
8L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
192Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
80.80.5
79.079.5
Auto25.5
Teleop45.5
End9.8
red by 27.3
5000
#13
53.60.3
53.052.7
Auto17.2
Teleop32.1
End4.3
Second
71.00.5
69.269.6
Auto19.8
Teleop44.6
End6.6
red by 30.3
1757
#14
40.70.3
40.139.7
Auto9.9
Teleop23.3
End7.5
Third
5735
#24
24.20.5
22.322.8
Auto8.6
Teleop16.1
End-0.5
blue by 9.7
1277
#15
33.80.3
33.232.9
Auto5.9
Teleop20.2
End7.7