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Red142
673139.3
801358.7
66346.4
Blue172
83964.4
242336.6
490963.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150188050100250300142172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+10
Endgame+24
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points27
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +7
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
100Total teleop107
Reef
10L4#9
5L3#5
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +14
12Cage & park26
12Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points6
142Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.1
58.158.0
Auto9.3
Teleop40.7
End8.8
blue by 5.7
839
#12
64.40.1
65.265.1
Auto9.4
Teleop44.0
End11.0
Second
663
#19
46.40.1
45.845.7
Auto7.7
Teleop38.4
End0.4
blue by 16.9
63.30.1
64.164.0
Auto16.3
Teleop38.7
End8.3
Third
39.30.1
38.738.6
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End1.6
red by 2.7
2423
#22
36.60.1
37.337.3
Auto11.8
Teleop21.3
End3.5