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Red192
110058.7
944326.5
115358.2
Blue168
862640.4
287635.8
964454.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15813650100200250192168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
0Teleop0
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave3
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points30
20Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +13
31Coral scored#24
110Coral points85
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
12Processor points24
24Net points24
36Algae points48
146Total teleop133
Reef
15L4#14
11L3#7
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#40
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
192Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.71.2
57.758.8
Auto12.2
Teleop39.4
End7.1
red by 3.8
9644
#16
54.90.9
54.255.1
Auto11.9
Teleop40.8
End2.2
Second
58.21.2
57.158.3
Auto9.7
Teleop43.2
End5.4
red by 17.8
8626
#18
40.40.9
39.740.5
Auto6.4
Teleop33.1
End0.9
Third
9443
#20
26.51.2
25.426.6
Auto4.4
Teleop16.4
End5.7
blue by 9.3
35.80.9
35.135.9
Auto9.3
Teleop26.0
End0.5