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Red167
500053.6
127733.8
175740.7
Blue176
673139.3
801358.7
66346.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13615650100200250167176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+31
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave9
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points21
48Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +49
16Coral scored#27
59Coral points96
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
83Total teleop132
Reef
10L4#13
5L3#7
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
30Game pieces#39
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
167Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5000
#13
53.60.9
52.753.6
Auto17.2
Teleop32.1
End4.3
blue by 5.1
58.70.7
58.058.8
Auto9.3
Teleop40.7
End8.8
Second
1757
#14
40.70.9
39.740.7
Auto9.9
Teleop23.3
End7.5
blue by 5.7
663
#19
46.40.7
45.746.4
Auto7.7
Teleop38.4
End0.4
Third
1277
#15
33.80.9
32.933.8
Auto5.9
Teleop20.2
End7.7
blue by 5.5
39.30.7
38.639.4
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End1.6