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Red221
12580.8
573524.2
176871.0
Blue182
83964.4
242336.6
490963.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190183100120140160200220240260221182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+31Teleop
+41Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
6Leave9
12Coral scored#5
59Coral points24
65Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +1
26Coral scored#24
94Coral points85
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
12Processor points18
20Net points24
32Algae points42
126Total teleop127
Reef
14L4#11
11L3#10
8L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +39
4Foul points6
221Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
80.80.9
79.580.4
Auto25.5
Teleop45.5
End9.8
red by 16.4
839
#12
64.40.1
65.165.2
Auto9.4
Teleop44.0
End11.0
Second
71.00.9
69.670.5
Auto19.8
Teleop44.6
End6.6
red by 7.7
63.30.1
64.064.1
Auto16.3
Teleop38.7
End8.3
Third
5735
#24
24.20.9
22.823.7
Auto8.6
Teleop16.1
End-0.5
blue by 12.4
2423
#22
36.60.1
37.337.4
Auto11.8
Teleop21.3
End3.5