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Red176
287774.2
8877.8
596210.8
Blue119
110058.7
944326.5
115358.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179158050100200250300350176119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave9
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points7
47Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
25Coral scored#19
89Coral points67
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
18Processor points18
16Net points12
34Algae points30
123Total teleop97
Reef
15L4#9
7L3#4
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
176Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
77.80.4
75.676.1
Auto18.6
Teleop50.0
End9.3
red by 19.1
58.70.5
58.858.3
Auto12.2
Teleop39.4
End7.1
Second
74.20.4
72.072.4
Auto20.8
Teleop43.8
End9.5
red by 16.0
58.20.5
58.357.7
Auto9.7
Teleop43.2
End5.4
Third
5962
#23
10.80.4
8.69.1
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End-0.5
blue by 15.6
9443
#20
26.50.5
26.626.0
Auto4.4
Teleop16.4
End5.7