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Red18
171916.7
191511.5
583011.4
Blue92
454112.9
859029.2
68628.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3763020801001892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+12
Fouls+74
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +19
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
3Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points62
18Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1719
#24
16.71.8
9.37.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End2.0
blue by 12.5
29.22.5
19.316.9
Auto5.7
Teleop20.3
End3.3
Second
1915
#21
11.51.8
10.68.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.6
blue by 16.9
686
#10
28.32.5
16.514.0
Auto6.1
Teleop20.5
End1.8
Third
5830
#25
11.41.8
14.312.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.6
blue by 1.5
4541
#14
12.92.5
16.413.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned