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Red77
862213.4
172740.5
88838.1
Blue44
777013.8
55498.2
141827.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69612040801001207744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+41Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points11
13Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +45
11Coral scored#3
40Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
58Total teleop13
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
77Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.51.8
25.126.9
Auto8.0
Teleop26.7
End5.8
red by 12.9
27.61.0
24.223.1
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End8.5
Second
888
#4
38.11.8
27.329.1
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End3.2
red by 24.3
7770
#15
13.81.0
14.013.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Third
8622
#19
13.41.8
8.310.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End0.4
red by 5.3
5549
#23
8.21.0
15.114.1
Auto1.0
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned