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Red84
862213.4
907244.2
253712.9
Blue42
61116.3
29128.7
111114.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6436020801001208442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+42Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +26
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
56Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
18Foul points0
84Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.21.2
34.735.9
Auto9.5
Teleop33.1
End1.6
red by 27.9
611
#28
16.30.8
15.516.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Second
8622
#19
13.41.2
12.013.2
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End0.4
blue by 0.6
1111
#29
14.00.8
11.212.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Third
2537
#37
12.91.2
8.89.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
red by 4.2
2912
#20
8.70.8
7.88.6
Auto2.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed