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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7273203040506080901362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+45
Endgame+47
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +41
1Coral scored#9
2Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
2Total teleop43
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points2
13Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.55.7
32.026.3
Auto8.0
Teleop26.7
End5.8
blue by 9.7
50.30.6
31.931.3
Auto17.1
Teleop30.3
End2.9
Second
2537
#37
12.95.7
19.613.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 3.4
4638
#13
16.30.6
17.917.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
5841
#27
7.35.7
12.87.1
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End2.2
blue by 3.7
8326
#34
11.00.6
15.615.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed