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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486402040801004447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
6Coral scored#6
20Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
28Total teleop32
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
44Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8126
#19
29.10.2
18.118.3
Auto4.1
Teleop22.5
End2.6
red by 5.4
23.70.8
17.616.8
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End1.9
Second
4453
#22
16.80.2
10.410.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End4.0
blue by 6.5
5676
#25
23.30.8
22.822.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.1
End4.3
Third
12.10.2
14.014.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 5.0
5501
#13
17.20.8
14.013.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed