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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467902040601001204448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
3Coral scored#7
10Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
18Total teleop33
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
44Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.2
21.721.5
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End3.1
blue by 0.5
3875
#24
28.22.4
25.222.8
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End1.3
Second
25.00.2
18.017.8
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.9
blue by 1.0
5144
#12
26.02.4
21.719.3
Auto3.5
Teleop21.0
End1.4
Third
9183
#29
14.50.2
5.95.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End3.0
blue by 9.6
5152
#27
24.12.4
22.520.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed