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Qual 292025 FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan
Red82
608132.5
967117.9
598020.8
Blue95
830017.5
725615.9
860852.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70713040506080901008295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +3
11Coral scored#7
41Coral points26
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
59Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
82Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#10
32.51.2
28.3→29.5
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End1.8
blue by 19.8
8608
#1
52.32.7
37.5→40.2
Auto17.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
Second
5980
#15
20.81.2
14.5→15.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End3.1
red by 3.3
8300
#26
17.52.7
12.2→14.9
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.5
Third
9671
#11
17.91.2
19.7→20.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
red by 2.0
7256
#17
15.92.7
13.1→15.8
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned