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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions793402040601001206432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+38Teleop
+34Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +34
11Coral scored#2
38Coral points6
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
46Total teleop12
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points2
64Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.2
37.036.8
Auto10.3
Teleop34.1
End8.0
red by 35.7
4453
#22
16.80.5
10.610.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Second
7226
#30
19.40.2
12.812.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End0.6
red by 3.6
15.80.5
15.314.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Third
4810
#35
18.30.2
15.815.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.9
End0.4
red by 8.7
7254
#33
9.50.5
9.08.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed