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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3861020801004366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +28
4Coral scored#9
15Coral points31
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
23Total teleop51
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
43Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5248
#16
22.00.9
13.914.7
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End0.8
blue by 7.7
29.60.1
25.125.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.8
End6.6
Second
7658
#37
12.30.9
13.514.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.4
blue by 4.3
9566
#36
16.70.1
16.516.6
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End0.4
Third
9703
#34
9.60.9
7.78.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 6.7
16.30.1
11.511.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed