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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75860501001502005262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +21
7Coral scored#10
25Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
29Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
10Foul points0
52Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#10
32.52.7
33.931.2
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End1.8
blue by 6.6
39.11.4
33.532.1
Auto6.6
Teleop28.9
End3.6
Second
15.84.2
19.315.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.2
blue by 9.2
25.01.4
22.921.5
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.9
Third
9238
#38
11.52.7
15.012.2
Auto1.6
Teleop8.9
End1.0
blue by 4.4
7256
#17
15.91.4
17.816.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed