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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671110501001504075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+25
Endgame+29
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
13Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#10
21Coral points35
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
25Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points6
40Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.63.2
27.524.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.8
End6.6
blue by 22.6
52.33.2
33.730.4
Auto17.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
Second
9672
#31
15.43.2
17.214.1
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
blue by 12.2
27.73.2
32.729.5
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End3.1
Third
7254
#33
9.53.2
17.614.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End2.6
blue by 16.4
5144
#12
26.03.2
26.623.3
Auto3.5
Teleop21.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed