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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78912040601001201404243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
4Coral scored#5
13Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
25Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points6
42Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8126
#19
29.13.0
21.018.0
Auto4.1
Teleop22.5
End2.6
red by 5.0
5152
#27
24.14.6
35.230.5
Auto4.3
Teleop14.5
End5.4
Second
3875
#24
28.23.0
26.523.5
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End1.3
red by 4.9
5676
#25
23.34.6
28.624.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.1
End4.3
Third
7658
#37
12.33.0
21.818.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.4
blue by 2.2
9183
#29
14.54.6
14.810.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed