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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95894060801001205068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
8Coral scored#10
29Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
39Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
50Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9758
#15
31.32.6
24.822.2
Auto3.8
Teleop26.8
End0.7
blue by 3.1
34.51.8
27.525.7
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End1.2
Second
7174
#23
27.34.3
27.523.2
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.9
red by 4.0
216
#24
23.31.8
24.722.9
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End0.6
Third
7762
#21
18.54.3
27.022.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End2.3
red by 3.5
5462
#29
15.01.8
24.122.3
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed