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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710702040801201401607287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +17
10Coral scored#12
35Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
45Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
72Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.51.1
34.735.8
Auto17.1
Teleop26.7
End5.7
blue by 11.4
60.90.2
50.350.0
Auto11.9
Teleop40.0
End9.0
Second
6098
#31
15.90.6
13.814.5
Auto4.4
Teleop10.9
End0.5
blue by 8.7
8427
#22
24.60.4
19.719.3
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.5
Third
9753
#35
3.01.1
13.914.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End0.7
blue by 18.2
21.10.2
20.720.5
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsMissed