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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668720408010012014016081117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+26
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points23
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
13Coral scored#16
48Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
62Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
81Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#7
32.70.9
29.630.5
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End2.2
blue by 13.5
46.22.2
28.230.4
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
Second
3936
#14
25.50.9
12.613.6
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End2.1
blue by 11.9
37.42.2
29.431.6
Auto10.9
Teleop18.1
End8.3
Third
5702
#32
15.00.9
15.716.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.9
blue by 7.5
4325
#19
22.52.2
15.417.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned