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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10810305015020025030096122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+30
Endgame+20
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
19Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +29
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
65Total teleop94
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#8
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points6
96Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.0
31.531.5
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End8.3
blue by 15.9
49.52.3
35.838.0
Auto17.1
Teleop26.7
End5.7
Second
3452
#18
31.30.0
27.427.4
Auto3.8
Teleop24.9
End2.6
blue by 5.4
36.72.3
23.425.7
Auto2.7
Teleop31.1
End2.8
Third
22.70.0
24.924.9
Auto5.5
Teleop16.6
End0.6
blue by 8.6
9758
#15
31.31.4
22.223.6
Auto3.8
Teleop26.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed