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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886602040801001201401607182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+7
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
10Coral scored#12
37Coral points42
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
18Processor points6
8Net points16
26Algae points22
63Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
71Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#12
39.91.3
25.424.2
Auto6.9
Teleop28.5
End4.4
red by 8.1
31.80.7
23.223.9
Auto6.4
Teleop23.4
End2.1
Second
8427
#22
24.61.3
19.318.0
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.5
red by 4.6
5227
#16
20.00.7
15.616.3
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Third
7762
#21
18.51.3
22.721.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End2.3
red by 3.9
5182
#28
14.60.7
14.915.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed