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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678402040601001201406598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+23
Endgame+19
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +20
8Coral scored#9
29Coral points33
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
12Processor points12
4Net points20
16Algae points32
45Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points14
65Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#30
31.30.7
21.120.4
Auto5.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
blue by 6.2
3875
#10
37.50.2
31.331.1
Auto4.1
Teleop31.9
End1.6
Second
9566
#26
25.20.4
19.819.4
Auto5.3
Teleop18.6
End1.3
red by 4.1
21.10.2
20.520.3
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Third
7814
#20
18.60.4
15.515.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End3.1
red by 2.7
6098
#31
15.90.2
14.514.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsEarned