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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77880501001507666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
10Coral scored#9
36Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
54Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points0
76Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.1
25.725.5
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End1.2
red by 7.1
7174
#23
27.32.2
23.221.0
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.9
Second
9227
#11
20.10.1
21.020.9
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.0
blue by 3.2
216
#24
23.32.2
22.920.7
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End0.6
Third
5702
#32
15.00.1
16.616.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.9
blue by 7.7
22.71.3
24.923.6
Auto5.5
Teleop16.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed