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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951006080120140107115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +27
9Leave6
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +37
13Coral scored#17
48Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#7
6Processor points6
4Net points28
10Algae points34
58Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
107Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.52.5
38.040.5
Auto17.1
Teleop26.7
End5.7
blue by 11.4
60.91.8
50.051.8
Auto11.9
Teleop40.0
End9.0
Second
5535
#13
36.22.5
26.128.6
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End7.0
red by 12.5
5056
#27
23.71.8
21.823.6
Auto2.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
Third
21.11.5
20.321.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End2.1
red by 1.1
5227
#16
20.01.8
16.318.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned