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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898440601001201408559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+38Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +41
15Coral scored#7
53Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
71Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
85Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.6
25.526.1
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End1.2
red by 1.8
244
#7
32.71.4
30.529.1
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End2.2
Second
3452
#18
31.30.3
27.427.8
Auto3.8
Teleop24.9
End2.6
red by 9.8
9208
#25
21.42.3
29.827.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.3
Third
7174
#23
27.30.6
21.021.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.9
red by 11.5
6098
#31
15.91.4
14.212.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned