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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions749502040601201401609092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+14
Endgame+16
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
9Coral scored#17
34Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
60Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
20Foul points6
90Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.3
25.726.0
Auto2.7
Teleop31.1
End2.8
blue by 9.5
46.20.1
30.430.5
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
Second
8427
#22
24.60.3
18.018.3
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.5
blue by 12.9
3875
#10
37.50.1
31.131.2
Auto4.1
Teleop31.9
End1.6
Third
216
#24
23.30.3
20.721.0
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End0.6
red by 8.3
5462
#29
15.00.2
20.420.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed