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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707062646668726662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+10
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +23
7Coral scored#12
24Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
34Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
66Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.3
31.631.8
Auto10.9
Teleop18.1
End8.3
blue by 2.6
217
#12
39.90.4
24.224.6
Auto6.9
Teleop28.5
End4.4
Second
7814
#20
18.60.3
15.015.3
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 1.6
9106
#33
20.10.4
19.319.7
Auto2.4
Teleop15.1
End2.6
Third
5182
#28
14.60.3
15.515.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
red by 11.7
9753
#35
3.00.4
14.915.4
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed