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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98822040601201407880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+12
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +6
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points38
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
0Processor points12
12Net points4
12Algae points16
48Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
78Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.0
31.130.1
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End8.3
red by 6.3
7174
#23
27.30.3
21.621.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.9
Second
288
#30
31.31.6
20.418.8
Auto5.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
red by 6.1
9566
#26
25.20.2
19.419.5
Auto5.3
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Third
7762
#21
18.51.6
21.920.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 2.6
21.10.2
21.821.9
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed