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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961026080120140160110132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave6
3Coral scored#6
15Coral points30
18Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +8
16Coral scored#17
58Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
86Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#7
4L3#8
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points12
110Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#10
37.51.2
31.232.4
Auto4.1
Teleop31.9
End1.6
blue by 12.0
49.52.6
40.543.2
Auto17.1
Teleop26.7
End5.7
Second
5535
#13
36.22.0
28.630.7
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End7.0
red by 3.6
244
#7
32.71.6
29.130.7
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End2.2
Third
22.71.2
23.624.8
Auto5.5
Teleop16.6
End0.6
red by 2.7
5227
#16
20.01.6
18.119.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed