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Red183
341465.1
332242.8
2759.9
Blue163
30265.8
481027.8
3366.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178172100150200250183163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave0
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points29
44Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +5
23Coral scored#22
83Coral points80
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
12Processor points18
28Net points20
40Algae points38
123Total teleop118
Reef
14L4#10
6L3#9
8L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
183Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.10.4
63.864.2
Auto14.0
Teleop45.6
End5.5
blue by 1.7
33
#5
66.80.1
66.566.6
Auto15.6
Teleop43.2
End8.0
Second
27
#9
59.90.4
58.659.1
Auto12.1
Teleop38.9
End9.0
blue by 5.8
302
#1
65.80.1
65.565.6
Auto19.8
Teleop39.7
End6.3
Third
3322
#22
42.80.4
41.542.0
Auto10.3
Teleop24.2
End8.3
red by 15.1
4810
#24
27.80.1
27.527.6
Auto6.8
Teleop20.5
End0.5