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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377302060801001203989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+38
Endgame+44
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +31
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
20Total teleop51
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +6
10Cage & park16
10Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points6
39Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5234
#29
18.50.3
15.415.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 12.6
31.10.9
24.825.6
Auto5.6
Teleop18.5
End7.0
Second
9703
#33
18.20.3
9.59.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 5.5
8300
#14
23.70.9
19.220.0
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End1.2
Third
6591
#38
13.80.6
13.312.7
Auto2.7
Teleop11.0
End0.1
blue by 8.9
5559
#21
22.70.9
21.021.9
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned