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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481070204060801201401607299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+15
Endgame+25
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
12Coral scored#14
42Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
56Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points2
72Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8522
#19
31.12.5
22.024.5
Auto5.4
Teleop24.0
End1.7
blue by 27.0
58.10.5
52.653.0
Auto10.4
Teleop37.8
End9.9
Second
9183
#32
20.11.5
12.714.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.1
red by 4.2
830
#23
15.90.8
22.223.0
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Third
5225
#31
15.12.5
14.917.4
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.1
red by 1.5
13.60.8
15.115.9
Auto0.9
Teleop11.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned