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Qual 92025 FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation
Red118
261149.6
842318.5
456818.5
Blue138
366846.5
750137.4
719746.8
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84125204060100140160180118138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+10
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave6
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points23
27Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +8
16Coral scored#19
59Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
87Total teleop95
Reef
5L4#13
8L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
118Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#6
49.62.4
37.3→39.7
Auto17.1
Teleop30.7
End1.9
red by 2.8
7197
#8
46.82.2
39.9→42.1
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
Second
4568
#24
18.54.0
18.1→22.1
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End0.9
blue by 28.0
3668
#4
46.52.2
31.2→33.4
Auto8.9
Teleop31.5
End6.1
Third
8423
#22
18.52.4
18.1→20.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 18.9
7501
#11
37.42.2
31.2→33.4
Auto5.9
Teleop24.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned