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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions491100204060801001201401602297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+67
Endgame+75
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +57
2Coral scored#12
6Coral points43
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
10Total teleop67
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points0
22Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.53.1
20.217.1
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End4.2
blue by 27.7
51.20.3
35.235.5
Auto11.8
Teleop32.0
End7.3
Second
5205
#36
15.73.1
16.313.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 31.6
47.30.3
39.840.1
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
Third
6556
#37
11.33.1
13.110.1
Auto1.0
Teleop7.8
End2.5
blue by 11.9
9210
#15
23.20.4
17.918.4
Auto5.8
Teleop15.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned