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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions589202040801001201407291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points22
13Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +2
11Coral scored#11
41Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
55Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
72Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.7
38.439.1
Auto11.8
Teleop32.0
End7.3
red by 13.7
7501
#11
37.40.5
34.735.2
Auto5.9
Teleop24.5
End7.0
Second
21.41.2
16.417.6
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.3
blue by 9.7
8522
#19
31.10.8
22.923.7
Auto5.4
Teleop24.0
End1.7
Third
6556
#37
11.31.2
6.27.4
Auto1.0
Teleop7.8
End2.5
blue by 19.8
31.10.5
26.426.8
Auto5.6
Teleop18.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned